Key Points
- Tehran evaluating potential attacks on American military installations across Europe amid rising Trump administration tensions
- Bezmer airbase in Bulgaria and Cyprus facilities identified as possible strike locations
- Iranian military has examined options for attacking undersea communications infrastructure in Hormuz Strait
- Diplomatic efforts to reopen critical shipping corridor have collapsed, with Trump confirming no scheduled discussions
- Military analysts characterize European threat as “real, but limited” given missile technology constraints
Tehran is evaluating potential strikes against American military installations in Europe should President Donald Trump further intensify hostilities, according to two sources within the Iranian regime who provided details to the Financial Times.
These sources indicate Iranian military planners have analyzed targeting American facilities in southeastern Europe, with particular focus on Bulgaria, where authorities recently authorized the Bezmer airbase for US aircraft refuelling operations.
Cyprus has also emerged as a potential target location. In March, a British military base on the island experienced a drone strike, which Western intelligence officials assessed was likely executed by proxy forces using Iranian drone technology.
Hormuz Strait Standoff
Tehran’s military has additionally reviewed options for targeting undersea fibre-optic communication cables running through the Strait of Hormuz should tensions continue escalating.
Diplomatic initiatives aimed at reopening the strategic waterway have reached an impasse. Speaking Tuesday, Trump confirmed there are “no talks or conversations going on, or scheduled” with Iranian officials.
A June diplomatic arrangement between Washington and Tehran unraveled last month following Iranian attacks on commercial vessels transiting the strait. Mutual accusations of agreement violations followed, triggering reciprocal strikes and Washington’s reimposition of a naval blockade on Iranian maritime facilities.
Trump has publicly stated the United States would destroy Iranian infrastructureāincluding bridges or power facilitiesāeach time Iran targets shipping in the strategic waterway.
Tehran’s Official Stance
A regime insider stated Iran would impose “no limits” on retaliation should Washington pursue aggressive actions. “Should the US go too far, Iran will defend itself at any price, go beyond the region and hit Europe too,” the source stated.
The Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps has previously issued warnings that any military facility utilized for operations against Iranian soil would be deemed a legitimate military target. This declaration was specifically aimed at Britain regarding American operations from British military installations.
Tehran has demonstrated long-range strike capabilities. Earlier this year, Iranian forces launched multiple missiles toward Diego Garcia, a joint American-British military installation in the Indian Ocean approximately 4,000km distant. All missiles failed to reach their intended target.
In March, Turkish officials reported NATO air defence systems successfully intercepted several ballistic missiles launched from Iranian territory.
Sidharth Kaushal, a research fellow at the Royal United Services Institute, characterized the European threat as “real, but limited.” While Iran possesses medium-range ballistic missiles capable of reaching US installations in southeastern Europe, precision and destructive capacity diminish significantly at extended ranges.
Douglas Barrie from the International Institute for Strategic Studies acknowledged Iran maintains weapons systems with ranges exceeding 2,000km, while emphasizing substantial risks of technical failure or defensive interception.
Iran’s supreme leader recently promoted hardline figures to senior security and military positions. Mohsen Rezaei, formerly a Guards commander, received appointment as the nation’s chief security official, a development analysts interpret as signaling movement away from diplomatic engagement.
Significant elements within the Iranian regime maintain the United States cannot be relied upon to honor diplomatic commitments, concluding that Iran must increase the costs of confrontation to compel Washington to fulfill its obligations.



