TLDR
- SpaceX stock gained before its first earnings report despite losing over $500 billion since its public debut.
- Elon Musk called the recent SpaceX stock decline “a buying opportunity” in a social media response.
- Investors await first quarterly earnings after SpaceX shares fell more than 50% from their intraday peak.
- Insider lock-up expirations beginning August 6 could increase tradable shares and pressure SpaceX stock price further.
- Analysts remain divided as earnings, valuation concerns, and future guidance shape SpaceX stock’s next major direction.
SpaceX stock regained momentum on Monday as investors turned their attention to the company’s first earnings report since its public market debut. The shares climbed nearly 3% during the session and moved above $111 after four consecutive weekly declines, although concerns over upcoming insider share unlocks continued to limit optimism.
The earnings release arrives after a difficult start for the stock. Since its June 12 debut, SpaceX has lost more than $500 billion in market value and now trades more than 50% below its intraday peak. The report is expected to provide investors with the first detailed look at the company’s financial performance as a public company.
Elon Musk Backs SpaceX Stock as Earnings Near
Market attention increased after Elon Musk responded to a social media post suggesting that the recent weakness in SpaceX stock presents a buying opportunity. Musk replied, “I think so too,” signaling that he believes the current valuation offers an attractive entry point.
The comment came as investors prepared for the company’s earnings announcement, scheduled after Tuesday’s market close. The report follows a period of increased scrutiny surrounding Musk’s publicly traded companies after Tesla’s recent earnings received a mixed response from investors.
SpaceX remains one of the largest publicly traded technology companies by market value. Despite its size, investors continue to focus on future growth rather than current financial performance, with many watching revenue growth, cash flow and management guidance during the upcoming earnings release.
Insider Lock-Up Expirations Remain a Key Risk
While the recent recovery improved sentiment, investors are also monitoring the beginning of insider lock-up expirations this week. According to Bloomberg, the first phase starts on Aug. 6 and could make roughly 20% to 30% of previously restricted insider shares eligible for sale.
Additional share releases are expected throughout the year. By December 2026, nearly 40% of locked shares may become available for trading, increasing the public float and raising the possibility of additional selling pressure if insiders decide to sell their holdings.
Short sellers have also benefited from the stock’s decline. Matthew Unterman, head of research at S3 Partners, said, “It’s among the most aggressive and quickest bearish builds we have seen in a mega-cap name heading into its first earnings report post-IPO.”
Analysts Remain Divided on SpaceX Stock Outlook
The company enters earnings after a difficult first two months as a public business. SpaceX has lost more than half of its value from its intraday high, making it one of the largest post-IPO declines among major technology listings in recent years.
Some analysts continue to see long-term potential despite the recent weakness. Ben Harwood of New Street Research said, “For a long-term investor we think this is an attractive entry point. The growth runway is enormous, and SpaceX has one of the widest moats in the market today.”
Investors will closely watch Tuesday’s earnings report for updates on revenue, cash flow, spending and future guidance. Management’s outlook may play an important role in determining whether the recent recovery continues or whether concerns over valuation and insider selling remain the dominant themes for SpaceX stock in the weeks ahead.
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