TLDR
- Polymarket chose Pyth Network to settle new prediction markets tied to stocks, commodities, and indices.
- The rollout includes Tesla, Coinbase, Palantir, Nvidia, Apple, gold, silver, WTI crude, and natural gas.
- Pyth Terminal shows live reference prices used to settle the new Polymarket contracts.
- ICE said on March 27 it completed a $600 million cash investment after a $1 billion October 2025 deal.
- TRM Labs said monthly prediction market volume rose from about $1.2 billion in 2025 to over $20 billion.
Polymarket is expanding beyond crypto by using Pyth Network data to settle new prediction markets tied to stocks, commodities, and major indices. The move adds markets for assets like Tesla, gold, and oil, while giving traders a public and transparent pricing source for daily contract resolution across financial products.
Pyth becomes the settlement source
Pyth said its feeds will settle new contracts tied to major equity benchmarks and widely traded commodity prices. The list includes gold, silver, WTI crude, and natural gas, which are common macro trading markets. It also covers Tesla, Coinbase, Palantir, Nvidia, and Apple, all listed in Pyth’s announcement.
Polymarket said users get a “clearer and more transparent source of truth” for market settlement. Pyth said its prices come from first-party firms that actively trade the underlying assets. That structure is meant to make settlement data visible, and it may ease disputes after market close.
Pyth also launched Pyth Terminal alongside the integration and the new market rollout. The tool shows live reference prices used to settle these contracts across the platform. Traders and developers can monitor those values in real time as markets stay open.
New markets widen Polymarket coverage
The new products focus on daily direction and closing price outcomes rather than long dated forecasts. That format mirrors how many traders track equities, commodities, and indexes during each trading session. It gives Polymarket more room in markets tied to traditional finance themes and price moves.
The expansion comes as prediction markets move into a broader trading category across crypto and mainstream finance. TRM Labs said monthly volume rose from about $1.2 billion in 2025 to over $20 billion. TRM also said monthly unique wallets across major platforms reached about 840,000 by February 2026.
That growth has drawn more attention from traders, builders, and larger investors looking at the sector. A mid-March Wall Street Journal report said Kalshi reached a $22 billion valuation in private market talks. The same report said Polymarket was also being discussed at about $20 billion.
Institutional backing supports the expansion
Intercontinental Exchange, owner of the New York Stock Exchange, disclosed a new cash investment on March 27. It said the deal involved $600 million after an earlier $1 billion investment made in October 2025. That backing adds more capital as Polymarket builds products around financial market events and prices.
The Pyth partnership fits that wider buildout because settlement rules sit at the center of each contract. A public data source can reduce disputes when markets cover fast moving assets and daily closes. That is especially relevant when contracts track stocks, oil, metals, and benchmark indexes.
Polymarket now has a clearer route into markets that many mainstream traders already watch every day. Pyth gains another large use case for its price feeds and its terminal product. Together, the two firms are linking crypto-native infrastructure with everyday financial market activity.
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