TLDR
- Palantir director Alexander Moore sold $3.1 million worth of shares on September 2, 2025, under a pre-arranged trading plan
- Palantir stock has jumped 107% in 2025, with a 417% return over the past year
- William Blair analyst maintains Hold rating despite strong commercial growth expectations of 103% in September quarter
- Analyst warns of rising competition from OpenAI and other AI startups copying Palantir’s model
- Wall Street consensus is Hold with average price target of $155.39, indicating minimal downside from current levels
Palantir Technologies director Alexander Moore sold $3.1 million worth of shares this week as the data analytics company continues its remarkable run in 2025. The insider transaction comes as the stock has surged 107% year-to-date, sparking both optimism about growth and concerns about valuation.
Moore sold 19,999 shares of Class A Common Stock on September 2, 2025, at prices ranging from $151.56 to $157.68 per share. The sale totaled $3,128,317 and was executed under a Rule 10b5-1 trading plan established in November 2024.
Following the transaction, Moore directly owns 1,272,978 shares of the company. The stock currently trades at $156.14, giving Palantir a market cap of $367.48 billion.
The insider sale occurs during a period of strong momentum for Palantir. The company has delivered a staggering 417% return over the past year, driven largely by demand for its AI-powered platforms.
William Blair analyst Louie DiPalma recently reiterated a Hold rating on the stock following Palantir’s AIPCon 8 event on September 4. The event showcased presentations from over 70 clients demonstrating how they use the company’s platforms.
Strong Commercial Growth Expected
DiPalma highlighted that Palantir’s new customer wins have remained strong since the previous AIPCon event in March. He expects the U.S. commercial business to show very strong growth with revenue projected to rise 103% in the September quarter.
This growth pace, combined with improving margins, could mark one of Palantir’s strongest quarters to date. The analyst noted continued momentum in the U.S. commercial segment as a key driver.
On the defense side, Palantir has already secured several new contracts in the current quarter. This diversified growth across both commercial and government segments supports the company’s expansion strategy.
The recent AIPCon event featured applications of Palantir’s Foundry and AI Platform across various sectors. These included nuclear power development and healthcare applications, demonstrating the versatility of the company’s offerings.
Competition Concerns Emerge
Despite the strong near-term outlook, DiPalma pointed to longer-term competitive risks. He noted that some investors worry about emerging competition from well-funded rivals.
OpenAI and other AI startups are raising large amounts of capital and actively recruiting talent from established players. These companies are copying Palantir’s engineer-led model while aggressively pursuing both enterprise and defense contracts.
The competitive landscape in AI and data analytics continues to evolve rapidly. New entrants with substantial funding could challenge Palantir’s market position over time.
However, Palantir has continued expanding its partnerships. The company recently announced a multi-year expansion with Japan’s SOMPO Holdings and entered into a partnership with Lumen Technologies.
Wall Street maintains a cautious stance on the stock despite the strong performance. The consensus rating is Hold based on five Buy ratings, 13 Hold ratings, and two Sell ratings.
The average price target of $155.39 suggests minimal downside of about 0.48% from current levels. Citron Research has expressed caution about the company’s valuation as shares continue their upward trajectory.
Palantir has already secured several defense contracts in the September quarter while maintaining strong momentum in commercial customer acquisitions.
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