TLDR
- MP Materials reported Q4 earnings per share of $0.09, surpassing the consensus forecast of $0.08 (significantly above Zacks’ projection of $0.04), representing an earnings beat of +145.23%
- Quarterly revenue totaled $52.69 million, falling short of the $76.06 million analyst consensus by 11.6%
- Shares advanced 2.3% following the earnings release, reaching an intraday peak of $60.29, with year-to-date gains of approximately 16.1%
- Company executives offloaded 723,146 shares valued at approximately $45.8 million during the previous three months, including transactions by top leadership
- Wall Street maintains a “Buy” consensus rating with an average target price of $78.91
MP Materials (MP) shares gained 2.3% during Thursday’s trading session following the rare earth mining company’s stronger-than-anticipated fourth quarter 2025 earnings report.
The equity reached an intraday peak of $60.29 before closing near $60.00, up from the previous session’s close of $58.66. Trading volume registered approximately 6.55 million shares, roughly 23% lighter than typical daily activity.
The company’s quarterly earnings per share of $0.09 exceeded the Street consensus of $0.08 and substantially outperformed the Zacks projection of $0.04. This resulted in an impressive earnings surprise of +145.23%, a remarkable outperformance by any measure.
Compared to the prior-year quarter when the firm reported a loss of $0.12 per share, this represents a significant operational improvement. Across the trailing four quarters, MP has surpassed earnings expectations in three instances.
The top-line results painted a less favorable picture. MP generated $52.69 million in quarterly revenue, falling approximately 11.6% below the consensus expectation of $76.06 million. This also represents a decline from the $60.99 million recorded in the comparable year-ago period.
The company currently operates with a negative net margin of 50.55% and a negative return on equity of 7.69%, largely attributable to substantial capital investments in expansion initiatives.
Insider Activity
Executive selling activity has been notable recently. CFO Ryan Corbett divested 38,146 shares at $60.00 per share on December 9th, trimming his holdings by 19.58%. CEO James Litinsky executed a larger transaction in January, offloading 272,600 shares at $64.17 each, representing more than $17.4 million in total value.
Collectively, company insiders have sold 723,146 shares valued at roughly $45.8 million during the past ninety days. Current insider ownership stands at approximately 9.5% of outstanding shares.
Institutional investors have moved in the opposite direction, increasing their positions. Corient Private Wealth expanded its holdings by 404.4% in Q4, while Pacer Advisors grew its stake by 71.7%. Institutional ownership currently represents 52.55% of shares outstanding.
Analyst Ratings
Wall Street analysts maintain an optimistic outlook on MP. MarketBeat data shows an average “Buy” recommendation, with a consensus price target of $78.91 — representing substantial upside from current price levels.
Goldman Sachs launched coverage in November with a “Buy” rating and $77.00 target. Morgan Stanley upgraded the stock to “Overweight” in December, establishing a $71.00 price objective. JPMorgan similarly elevated its rating to “Overweight” in November, though it modestly reduced its target to $74.00.
BMO Capital Markets shifted from “Market Perform” to “Outperform,” while Wall Street Zen issued the sole downgrade, moving to “Sell” in November.
Among tracked analysts, two assign a “Strong Buy” rating, thirteen recommend “Buy,” and one maintains a “Sell” recommendation.
MP stock has appreciated approximately 16.1% year-to-date, outperforming the S&P 500’s 1.5% gain during the identical timeframe.
Zacks consensus projections for the upcoming quarter call for $0.07 in EPS on $76.36 million in revenue, with full-year 2026 estimates projecting $0.59 in earnings per share on $418.47 million in total revenue.
The stock’s 50-day moving average currently stands at $59.89, while the 200-day moving average registers at $64.38. The company’s market capitalization is $10.63 billion.
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