Key Takeaways
- BTC declined approximately 2.9% to $66,400 following Trump’s televised address on Iran conflict
- President Trump announced plans to strike Iran “extremely hard” within the coming 2–3 weeks
- Oil prices jumped past $104 per barrel; equity futures shed more than $550 billion in value
- Futures open interest for BTC contracted 2.5% within four hours, indicating bearish market positioning
- Spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded their first positive monthly flow since October with $1.2 billion in March
The cryptocurrency market experienced significant turbulence Thursday following President Donald Trump’s national address regarding escalating tensions with Iran. Market participants had anticipated potential de-escalation signals, but the president’s remarks suggested the opposite trajectory.
During his speech, Trump declared the United States would “hit them extremely hard over the next two to three weeks,” specifically referencing Iran. While acknowledging military objectives were nearing completion, the president provided no definitive ceasefire timeline.
NOW – Trump on Iran: “We’re going to hit them extremely hard over the next 2-3 weeks. We’re going to bring them back to the stone ages, where they belong!” pic.twitter.com/knSmNB9OQk
— Disclose.tv (@disclosetv) April 2, 2026
Energy markets reacted swiftly to the announcement. Crude oil prices surged 5%, breaking through the $104 per barrel threshold. With the Strait of Hormuz remaining obstructed and Trump offering no indication of imminent reopening, energy traders positioned for extended disruption.
Prior to the presidential address, Bitcoin was hovering near $69,230. By early Thursday morning, the leading cryptocurrency had retreated to $66,393, representing approximately 2.9% depreciation within a 24-hour window.
Alternative cryptocurrencies mirrored Bitcoin’s downward movement. Ethereum, XRP, Solana, and Dogecoin all registered significant declines. Bitcoin’s trading volume simultaneously contracted by over 8% during this timeframe.
Futures Markets Signal Bearish Positioning
According to CoinGlass analytics, aggregate BTC futures open interest contracted 2.5% to $46.49 billion in merely four hours post-speech. CME’s open interest decreased 2.70% while Binance experienced a 2.96% reduction. Such rapid contraction typically indicates traders liquidating long positions.
The Coinbase Premium indicator, reflecting institutional demand from American investors, shifted into negative territory. This development suggests US retail participants are holding back from accumulating during the price decline.
Financial analysts Lyn Alden and Rory Johnston observed that markets “didn’t really learn anything more from Trump’s Iran War address, but those things he reaffirmed are likely going to continue driving crude prices higher.”
The US Dollar Index advanced 0.33% to 100, while 10-year Treasury yields climbed to 4.376%. Precious metals faced selling pressure with gold declining over 2% and silver dropping more than 4%.
Spot Bitcoin ETFs Record Positive March Inflows
Notwithstanding the current market downturn, Bitcoin exchange-traded funds achieved their first monthly net inflow since October. Spot ETF products attracted $1.2 billion during March following four consecutive months of net outflows.
Following the October 2025 peak, Bitcoin $BTC has already seen a 52% correction. On February 27, 2026, we saw the 3-day SMA cross once again. As of today, we are exactly 30 days into this signal.
If history “rhymes,” we are likely entering the Final Accumulation Window of this… https://t.co/NB4vtVMaFx pic.twitter.com/gMn1MxjzKK
— Ali Charts (@alicharts) April 1, 2026
Throughout March, Bitcoin demonstrated relative strength compared to traditional risk assets, registering modest appreciation while equities and precious metals declined. Nevertheless, BTC remains approximately 24% lower in 2026 and has predominantly traded within the $60,000 vicinity year-to-date.
Iranian officials have indicated preference for receiving payments in Chinese yuan or cryptocurrency for facilitating passage through the Strait of Hormuz. Direct diplomatic negotiations between Washington and Tehran have not occurred since hostilities commenced over 30 days ago.
As of publication, Bitcoin was exchanging hands at $66,393.





