Key Highlights
- BTC gained approximately 3% on Monday, breaking through the $79,000 threshold following extended declines
- President Trump suggested potential resolution to US-Iran tensions, triggering a decline in crude oil markets
- Updated Clarity Act draft incorporates Trump-endorsed ethics requirements, strengthening crypto market optimism
- Federal Reserve rate increase probability reached 92.7%, with traders anticipating a quarter-point adjustment Wednesday
- BTC successfully recovered its 50-week exponential moving average positioned at $77,430
The leading cryptocurrency experienced a notable recovery Monday, advancing approximately 3% to surpass the $79,000 mark. This upward movement followed a 3.2% decline registered during the prior week’s trading.

Two primary factors fueled the upward momentum: President Trump’s indications of potential resolution to US-Iran tensions, alongside substantial advancement of the Clarity Act ā significant crypto regulatory legislation progressing through the Senate.
In a Truth Social message, Trump indicated Iran’s eagerness to negotiate, stating they “want to make a deal, quickly and badly,” while confirming US willingness to participate in discussions. A subsequent message forecasted petroleum prices would “drop like a rock” upon cessation of military hostilities. These remarks pushed oil values downward, providing support for risk-oriented assets like cryptocurrencies.
Senate Crypto Bill Approaches Critical Vote
The Senate may conduct a vote on the Clarity Act as soon as Tuesday. Previous attempts to advance the legislation stalled when it couldn’t achieve the required 60-vote threshold. Republican Senator Cynthia Lummis revealed the revised legislation incorporates more than 120 Democratic amendments, featuring enhanced ethics requirements for elected representatives and their families.
The President willingly accepted ethics provisions extending to federally elected representatives, judicial officials, and their spouses. The modified version additionally empowers the Treasury Secretary with enhanced capabilities to address deposit movements associated with payment stablecoins.
Market analyst Ted Pillows identified a critical resistance zone via social media, observing that “$BTC is about to enter a huge sell zone,” citing “a lot of sell orders placed around the $80,000ā$83,000 range.” He emphasized that successful penetration of this zone could trigger “another leg up” and “confirm the cycle bottom.”
Federal Reserve Policy Meeting Takes Center Stage
Investor attention has shifted toward Wednesday’s Federal Reserve policy announcement. Expectations for a quarter-point rate increase surged to 92.7%, representing a significant jump from the previous week’s 59.4% probability, based on CME Group’s FedWatch Tool data.
QCP Capital, a prominent trading operation, observed that market participants have already incorporated the anticipated rate adjustment. The critical factor now centers on the Federal Reserve’s communication strategy and implications for subsequent policy actions.
QCP additionally cautioned that sustained elevated petroleum prices might maintain inflationary pressure, constraining the Fed’s flexibility to implement accommodative measures even amid economic deceleration.
Monday’s trading session saw Bitcoin recapture its 50-week exponential moving average at $77,430 after temporarily settling below this threshold on the weekly chart. Bitcoin advocates regard the 50-week EMA as a critical support benchmark.
US stock markets displayed mixed performance Monday, with the S&P 500 declining 0.3%. Technology shares weakened following Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei’s published statement advocating for decelerated AI advancement, a position endorsed by industry leaders including Sam Altman, Elon Musk, and Google DeepMind’s Demis Hassabis.
WTI crude oil maintained levels above $100 per barrel while Brent crude hovered around $105 during the reporting period.





