Quick Summary
- SPCX shares touched a record low of $132.75 Wednesday, breaking below the $135 initial public offering price before recovering to end at $135.27
- Shares have tumbled more than 30% from the June peak of $225.64 and are down approximately 12% for the year
- Wall Street analysts remain optimistic with 27 of 31 rating the stock Buy or Strong Buy, targeting an average of $242
- Needham reiterated its Buy recommendation and increased its target price to $250 from $200
- The company plans to launch its 13th Starship test flight Thursday evening, with quarterly results anticipated in mid-August
Shares of SpaceX (SPCX) fell below their initial public offering level Wednesday, declining to a record low of $132.75 before staging a modest recovery to end trading at $135.27.
Space Exploration Technologies Corp., SPCX
The space technology company began trading at $150 per share on June 12 and rapidly climbed to reach $225.64 on June 16, marking its highest point. The stock has experienced consistent weakness since that peak.
SPCX has shed over 30% from its record high and is down approximately 12% since the beginning of the year. Wednesday’s decline temporarily pushed shareholders who purchased at the $135 IPO price into negative territory.
Shares dropped more than 2% during the session, significantly underperforming the Nasdaq’s modest 0.2% decline.
The selloff occurred without an obvious catalyst. Interactive Brokers chief market analyst Steve Sosnick explained to Reuters: “There hasn’t been anything lately to remind people of some of the catalysts for why they bought SpaceX.”
Even as shares decline, analyst sentiment remains overwhelmingly positive. Among 31 analysts tracking the stock, 27 have assigned Buy or Strong Buy recommendations. Their consensus price target stands at $242 — representing potential upside of nearly 79% from Wednesday’s closing price.
Needham recently maintained its Buy recommendation while boosting its target price to $250 from a previous $200.
Upcoming Starship Launch Attempt
A potential market-moving event could materialize as early as Thursday evening. SpaceX plans to conduct the 13th test flight of Starship, its massive next-generation launch vehicle that stands as the most powerful rocket ever constructed.
This launch represents the second flight of Starship’s Version 3 configuration, which made its debut less than eight weeks ago. The May test ended unsuccessfully when the Super Heavy booster was lost following thermal damage during stage separation that caused multiple engines to malfunction during the return sequence.
Evercore ISI analyst Kutgun Maral, who holds a positive view on the stock, observed that Starship has not yet demonstrated operational reliability — creating urgency as the first commercial payload mission is scheduled for later this year.
First Quarterly Results Approaching
SpaceX is projected to publish its inaugural public earnings report in mid-August. This will mark the company’s first quarterly disclosure since completing its public listing, and market participants are paying close attention.
The stock previously dropped 8% after Starlink revealed pricing reductions in the Memphis, Tennessee region following uncertainty about a planned local data center facility.
Artificial Intelligence Operations Under Scrutiny
After acquiring Musk’s xAI venture — now operating as SpaceXAI — the company has entered the business of leasing data center infrastructure to technology firms. This artificial intelligence component generated significant investor enthusiasm around the IPO but has lost momentum recently.
Sosnick offered this perspective: “The fact that a stock has fallen a couple of dollars below its IPO price in itself is not a tragedy, but SpaceX is heavily watched and has an important role in investor psyche.”
SpaceX declined to provide comment when contacted. Pre-market activity Thursday indicated SPCX trading down an additional 0.07% at $135.17.





