TLDR
- World Bank forecasts UAE GDP growth at 5% in 2026 and 5.1% in 2027
- Non-oil sectors now account for over 75% of UAE economic activity
- UAE growth projection exceeds the global GDP forecast of 2.7%
- Foreign investment inflows continue despite ongoing global trade tensions
The World Bank has projected strong economic growth for the United Arab Emirates through 2027.The forecast places the country well above the global growth average. According to the World Bank, the UAE economy is expected to grow by 5% in 2026. Growth is projected to rise further to 5.1% in 2027. The report points to diversification, investment inflows, and trade resilience as core drivers.
Non-Oil Sectors Continue to Drive Expansion
The World Bank report shows that non-oil sectors remain the main source of growth.
Oil now contributes less than 25% of total GDP. This shift reflects long-term economic planning across multiple sectors.
Finance, tourism, logistics, and technology continue to expand steadily. Dubai and Abu Dhabi have strengthened their roles as regional business hubs. Free zones and global financial centers support international firms and capital flows.
JUST IN: 🇦🇪 World Bank projects UAE GDP growth at 5% in 2026 and 5.1% in 2027, driven by resilience despite global trade tensions. pic.twitter.com/9jdwRiCqsQ
— Whale Insider (@WhaleInsider) January 24, 2026
The report notes that reduced oil reliance limits exposure to energy price cycles. This structure allows steadier growth during periods of global uncertainty. Economic output now depends more on services and trade activities.
Foreign Investment Supports Economic Stability
Foreign capital remains a key contributor to UAE economic momentum. The World Bank cited stable regulations and strong infrastructure as major factors. Multinational companies continue to establish regional headquarters in the country.
Sovereign wealth funds also play a role in maintaining financial flows. These funds engage in long-term partnerships across global markets. Such activity supports employment and strengthens currency stability.
The report added that investor confidence remains intact despite global tensions. Capital inflows help sustain domestic demand and long-term planning. This environment supports predictable economic conditions through 2027.
Trade Resilience Amid Global Tensions
The World Bank noted that global trade disputes remain active in 2026. However, the UAE economy shows limited exposure to these disruptions. Diversified trade routes help reduce dependence on any single market.
The country maintains strong ties with Asia, Europe, and Africa. Exports now include more manufactured goods and services. These trade patterns support consistent growth during uncertain periods.
According to the report, this approach limits external shocks. It also supports steady export revenues across multiple regions. Trade diversification remains a key factor in the growth forecast.
UAE Growth Outpaces Global Averages
The World Bank projected global GDP growth at 2.7% during the same period. The UAE forecast nearly doubles that figure. This difference reflects structural reforms and economic positioning.
The report linked growth performance to policy consistency and market openness. The UAE continues to attract capital and skilled workers. These factors support expansion across sectors. Financial and digital asset communities have responded positively. Analysts view the UAE as a stable macroeconomic base. The World Bank forecast reinforces that position through 2027.





