Key Takeaways
- CFTC directed Kalshi to disregard Michigan court ruling demanding trade cancellations
- Michigan county judge had ordered Kalshi to void and return funds from sports-related contracts
- CFTC Chair Mike Selig stated states cannot intimidate federally regulated platforms
- This marks the first time a state has attempted direct intervention in designated contract market transactions
- Federal regulator has initiated legal action against nine additional states regarding prediction market oversight
The Commodity Futures Trading Commission intervened Tuesday to prevent prediction market operator Kalshi from complying with a Michigan court directive that would have forced the platform to reverse trades by state residents. The state-level court had mandated that Kalshi nullify and reimburse customers for specific transactions related to sports event contracts.
As a federally registered designated contract market (DCM), Kalshi operates under the jurisdiction of the Commodity Exchange Act, which establishes federal oversight over its business activities.
The directive from Michigan’s court system originated in June, stemming from a motion by state Attorney General Dana Nessel. Her legal team contended that Kalshi was conducting unauthorized gambling activities within Michigan’s borders.
On July 2, Kalshi submitted an urgent petition to the CFTC, seeking guidance on how to handle the state court’s requirement to have transactions “voided, cancelled and refunded.”
The federal regulator’s response was unequivocal: Kalshi should refuse to comply with Michigan’s directive.
CFTC Chairman Mike Selig characterized the cancellation of completed trades as “an unprecedented step” with potential ramifications for confidence across the entire marketplace.
“The commission will not allow states or state courts to bully registered entities into violating the Commodity Exchange Act and CFTC regulations,” Selig said in a statement.
Federal Versus State: A Nationwide Regulatory Conflict
The Michigan situation represents just one front in a broader territorial dispute. The CFTC has initiated litigation against Arizona, Connecticut, Illinois, Kentucky, Minnesota, New Mexico, New York, Rhode Island, and Wisconsin.
Each case centers on the same fundamental disagreement. State authorities classify prediction markets as unauthorized internet gambling. The CFTC maintains that Congressional authority grants it exclusive regulatory power over these operations.
Michigan stands alone as the first state attempting to directly reverse transactions that had already been completed.
Selig cautioned that permitting states to undo finalized trades would trigger a “cascading effect on the entire marketplace.” He emphasized that market predictability forms an essential foundation for operational financial systems.
The CFTC further pointed out that federal statutes prohibit a DCM from excluding residents of specific states, preventing Kalshi from simply blocking Michigan users to appease state authorities.
The resolution of this confrontation may establish precedents for prediction market regulation nationwide. In the immediate term, the CFTC’s directive requires Kalshi to maintain those Michigan transactions.





